The Palestinian cause is suffering from what may be the most challenging situation in its history in light of the war that Israel has been waging on the Gaza Strip since October 7, 2023.
Political fragmentation is currently the most significant hurdle to stable governance. There are substantial divides between the factions that administer Gaza, most notably Hamas and the Palestinian Authority (PA), which further complicates Gaza's rehabilitation.
The Israeli genocidal war in Gaza has caused unparalleled destruction, leaving the people of Gaza displaced and chaos in the political landscape. As a result, Palestine is facing a precarious and uncertain future. However, the question of governing Gaza looms large as a complex about the future of Palestine.
Palestine has been facing political fragmentation, mainly between Hamas and Fatah, since 2007. This fragmentation is one reason, among many others, for finding a proper solution in Palestine. International mediators, including Egypt and Qatar, are attempting to broker a reconciliation deal, but mistrust between the factions remains a significant roadblock.
During the past 15 years, various attempts have been made to bring Hamas and the PA together in an effort to achieve reconciliation; however, none of these efforts have been successful in producing a unified Palestinian leadership.
In July 2024, Hamas and Fatah, as well as 12 other Palestinian groups, signed a “national unity” agreement in Beijing aimed at maintaining Palestinian control over Gaza once Israel’s war on the enclave concludes. In February of the same year, Hamas and Fatah meet in Russia to discuss the formation of a unified Palestinian government.
On the other hand, Israel has complicated the situation in Gaza because it insists that any administration plan for Gaza must guarantee the demilitarization of Hamas and other parties. Negotiations between Hamas and the PA are made more difficult as a result of this demand.
The fact that Egypt, which has traditionally played the role of a mediator, is also involved in maintaining stability along its border and preventing militant activities on its border has added another degree of complexity to the governance issue.
Governing Gaza is made far more difficult by the political fragmentation that exists in Palestine, which is a challenge that will not be easily surmounted. The Israel war in Gaza has only served to widen the gap that already existed between Hamas and the Palestinian Authority, both of which are deeply rooted in their respective perspectives about the struggle.
The emergence of smaller factions adds another layer of complexity to the situation, resulting in a fragmented political landscape that is difficult to manage through consolidation.
These factions must reach a comprehensive political accord for effective governance in Gaza. This has been difficult for many years. In the absence of unity, Gaza's governance will continue to be fragmented, making it extremely difficult to meet the population's pressing demands for reconstruction and humanitarian assistance.
At a time when Palestine is struggling to cope with the consequences of the war that Israel launched in 2023, the difficulty of political fragmentation continues to be the primary hurdle to the reconstruction of Gaza. In the absence of a resolution to this issue, the future of Gaza is still uncertain, and there is the possibility that additional instability and misery will be anticipated in the near future.